Our latest update finds that if the election were held today, Donald Trump would have a 56 percent chance of defeating Joe Biden. (Note: This does not yet reflect a substantive sample of polling after Trump’s conviction in Manhattan.) In 100 hypothetical elections, Trump would win 56 times. Republicans are also favored to flip the Senate with a 77 percent probability and keep their majority in the House with a 62 percent probability.....Read More
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